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US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

YES
24%
NO
77%
Ends May 31, 2026
Volume
$53.61M
Change
0.00%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

YES
44%
NO
56%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$1.16M
Change
+1.00%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

YES
6%
NO
95%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$1.11M
Change
0.00%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

YES
6%
NO
95%
Ends Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$3.83M
Change
0.00%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

YES
3%
NO
97%
Ends Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$44.12M
Change
0.00%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

YES
16%
NO
84%
Ends May 31, 2026
Volume
$6.43M
Change
0.00%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

YES
16%
NO
85%
Ends May 15, 2026
Volume
$4.17M
Change
+2.00%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

YES
98%
NO
2%
Open
Volume
$11.58M
Change
0.00%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

YES
19%
NO
82%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$32.16M
Change
0.00%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends May 31, 2026
Volume
$31.62M
Change
0.00%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

YES
3%
NO
97%
Ends May 31, 2026
Volume
$26.42M
Change
0.00%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

YES
7%
NO
93%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$23.36M
Change
0.00%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

YES
28%
NO
72%
Ends May 31, 2026
Volume
$5.47M
Change
0.00%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

YES
1%
NO
99%
Ends May 31, 2026
Volume
$18.53M
Change
0.00%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

YES
2%
NO
98%
Ends Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$5.00M
Change
0.00%