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Markets showing unusual activity

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES
19%
NO
81%
Ends Nov 7, 2028
Volume
$26.41M
Change
+1.00%

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES
1%
NO
99%
Ends Nov 7, 2028
Volume
$9.02M
Change
0.00%

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES
20%
NO
80%
Ends Nov 7, 2028
Volume
$14.60M
Change
0.00%

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
YES
93%
NO
8%
Ends Jun 1, 2026
Volume
$88.27K
Change
0.00%

Netanyahu out by July 31?
YES
1%
NO
99%
Ends Jul 31, 2026
Volume
$95.44K
Change
0.00%

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends Oct 4, 2026
Volume
$13.41M
Change
--

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
YES
27%
NO
73%
Ends Apr 30, 2027
Volume
$1.37M
Change
+1.00%

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$1.18M
Change
0.00%

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$157.15K
Change
0.00%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
YES
4%
NO
96%
Ends Sep 30, 2026
Volume
$2.67M
Change
0.00%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends Jul 29, 2026
Volume
$8.52M
Change
0.00%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES
17%
NO
84%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$40.30M
Change
+1.00%

Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends Nov 3, 2026
Volume
$1.79M
Change
0.00%

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YES
4%
NO
96%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$38.26M
Change
0.00%

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
YES
4%
NO
96%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$34.66M
Change
0.00%