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Markets showing unusual activity

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES
14%
NO
86%
Ends Nov 7, 2028
Volume
$26.91M
Change
0.00%

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES
23%
NO
77%
Ends Nov 7, 2028
Volume
$15.72M
Change
0.00%

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES
2%
NO
98%
Ends Nov 7, 2028
Volume
$9.47M
Change
0.00%

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
YES
98%
NO
2%
Ends Jun 1, 2026
Volume
$136.66K
Change
0.00%

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends Oct 4, 2026
Volume
$14.03M
Change
0.00%

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
YES
49%
NO
52%
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Volume
$2.22M
Change
+1.00%

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
YES
33%
NO
67%
Ends Apr 30, 2027
Volume
$1.97M
Change
+2.00%

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$1.21M
Change
0.00%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
YES
1%
NO
99%
Ends Oct 1, 2026
Volume
$4.14M
Change
0.00%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES
17%
NO
84%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$59.68M
Change
0.00%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends Sep 16, 2026
Volume
$6.97M
Change
0.00%

Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES
0%
NO
100%
Ends Nov 3, 2026
Volume
$1.80M
Change
--

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YES
4%
NO
96%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$40.03M
Change
0.00%

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
YES
4%
NO
96%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$1.15M
Change
0.00%

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
YES
4%
NO
96%
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$35.35M
Change
0.00%